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What are climate normals (1991–2020)? A plain-English guide

By WeatherNormal Editorial · 2026-06-18

In short: A climate normal is the 30-year average of a weather measurement at one location. NOAA's current set covers 1991–2020 and is updated about once a decade. Normals tell you what weather is typical for a place and month — for example, an average July high — but they are not a forecast: any single day or year can differ a lot.

If you have ever read that a city’s “average high in July is 89°F,” you have used a climate normal. But what exactly is being averaged, over what period, and how should you read the number? This guide explains NOAA’s 1991–2020 U.S. Climate Normals in plain language.

The answer first

A climate normal is the average of a weather measurement — temperature, precipitation, snowfall — taken at one weather station over a fixed 30-year window. NOAA’s current normals cover 1991 to 2020. They are recalculated roughly once a decade. Normals describe what is typical, so they are ideal for planning (“when is it usually warm and dry there?”) but they are not a forecast of any particular day.

Why 30 years, and why 1991–2020?

Thirty years is the period the World Meteorological Organization recommends: long enough to smooth out year-to-year swings (a hot summer here, a wet winter there), short enough to reflect the recent climate. NOAA releases a new set at the start of each decade. The 1991–2020 normals were published in 2021 and replaced the older 1981–2010 set; the next will cover 2001–2030.

PeriodReleasedStatus
1981–20102011Superseded
1991–20202021Current
2001–2030~2031Future

What gets measured

For each station, the normals include monthly and annual values such as:

On WeatherNormal, each city page shows all of these in a 12-month table. For how to interpret the high-versus-low gap, see how to read average high and low temperatures.

How to actually use them

Normals answer “what is the weather usually like?” — which is exactly what you want when picking travel dates months ahead. A few practical uses:

The one big caveat

A normal is an average, so a given day can land far from it. An “average July high of 89°F” might mean a string of 95°F afternoons and a few cool 80°F days. Normals also can’t capture humidity, wind or a freak storm. Treat them as the backdrop for planning, then check a live forecast close to your trip.

Where WeatherNormal’s numbers come from

Every figure on this site is a NOAA NCEI 1991–2020 normal, captured as a fixed dataset and verified per city against the published source. The data is a U.S. Government work in the public domain. See the methodology page for the stations used and our full sourcing notes.

Frequently asked questions

What is a climate normal?

A climate normal is the long-term average of a weather variable — such as the average daily high temperature or total monthly precipitation — computed over a fixed 30-year period at a specific weather station. It describes typical conditions, not a prediction.

What years do the current US climate normals cover?

NOAA's current U.S. Climate Normals cover 1991 through 2020. They were released in 2021 and replaced the previous 1981–2010 set. The next update will cover 2001–2030.

Are climate normals a weather forecast?

No. Normals are historical 30-year averages. They tell you what is typical for a place in a given month, but the actual weather on any specific date can be much warmer, cooler, wetter or drier. Always check a live forecast before travelling.

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Last updated: 2026-06-18